Forecast of national voting intention, in real time
What would happen if elections were held today?
This is out voting intention forecast
Real time forecast
Daily forecast
Electoral Pulse is an innovative mathematical algorithm developed by Conento, which gives a running forecast of national voting intention, in real time, with information updated every 5 minutes.
The forecast figure is obtained on the basis of three different layers of information, which include the structural and volatile dynamics of voting:
The results of the Autonomous Community Election 2015, the European Election 2014 and the General Election 2011 at municipal level.
Polls on voting intention published in mainstream media.
Comments in real time in Twitter about the political parties and candidates (mentions and associated sentiment).

Each component is brought together, with variable and dynamic weights, in a mathematical algorithm that gives us a single final figure for voting intention.

Development of Ad-hoc Analysis

If you would like more information about the data and to receive detailed reports, you can contact us at:


C/ Sagasta, 15

Phone: 91 593 80 66

Contact person: Davide Fabrizio

E-mail: davide.fabrizio@conento.com